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26/ian/2010 EURAST recomandă: o analiză a lui Vladimir Socor privind locul Transnistriei în geopolitica R. Moldova

TRANSNISTRIA REMAINS THE ONLY REALLY “FROZEN” CONFLICT

by Vladimir Socor

The Jamestown Foudation, 25 ianuarie 2010

In 2008, Russia “unfroze” the conflicts in Abkhazia and South Ossetia through outright war and occupation of these Georgian territories. In the latter part of 2009, the United States and Russia each accelerated negotiations on the ArmeniaAzerbaijan conflict, with Washington and Moscow each pressing for some kind of quick results. Although the U.S. and Russian initiatives are inherently competitive, they both proceed from the same flawed point of departure, breaking the link between Armenian troop withdrawal from seven Azerbaijani districts and normalization of Turkey-Armenia relations. This approach can only keep the Karabakh conflict unresolved, although it creates the appearance of intensive negotiations toward settling it.

Meanwhile, the conflict between Russia and Moldova in Transnistria remains the only really “frozen” post-Soviet conflict. If anything, the negotiating deadlock has deepened recently, with Russia advancing stricter conditions and exploiting Moldova’s internal political vulnerabilities. Russian State Secretary and Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs Grigory Karasin’s just-completed visit to Chisinau and Tiraspol illustrates this involution (Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs website, Interfax, January 23). (text integral, format word doc. – Socor – Transnistria – 25 ian 10 )

Anunțuri

26 Ianuarie 2010 - Posted by | Geopolitica, Intelo, Istorie | , , , ,

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